Federal Reserve


OCTOBER 2019

Debating the Likelihood of an Economic Recession, Interest Rake Hike, and Inflation Acceleration

As we enter 4Q19, managing director Doug Cohen revisits his predicted probabilities from 1Q19 for the likelihood of an economic recession, a Fed interest rate hike, and inflation acceleration in 2019. Did Doug’s forecasts hold true?

SEPTEMBER 2019

Summertime and the Livin’ is Easy? Three Takeaways from the Market Movements of Summer 2019

Managing Director Doug Cohen's latest market update cites that, if nothing else, August was a reminder that we are seemingly always just a tweet away from a new market narrative. Doug cites the continued evidence of slowing global economic growth by the Fed’s rate cut and the renewal of trade tensions as causes of negative economic headlines that appear to be taking a toll on business capital spending.